Adam should not assume the win. Kris Allen fans could speed-dial him into the winner spot while Adam Lambert fans sit idle.
In American culture (and, possibly, world-wide) if you are too popular, people will try to bring you down. These arbiters of cynicism, or haters as they are often referred, work to cast doubt on anything mainstream. Unfortunately, counter-culture revolutionaries have been present in our society for generations; and, their message usually becomes popular. It becomes “cool” to rage against the machine; and, Adam Lambert, you are positioning yourself to be the machine.
After singing “Whole Lotta Love” by Led Zeppelin, his star went into orbit. It was the first time a Led Zeppelin song was performed on the American Idol stage, and Adam Lambert knocked it out of the park. Everything in his performance led you to believe that he was already a seasoned professional. He didn’t just stare into the camera, he hypnotized you. He grabbed the microphone and took control of it, captivating the audience for the entire song. If you weren’t a fan of his before, you have to be now just based on the authenticity of his performance and the flawlessness of his voice. Adam Lambert has a whole lotta people believing that he needs to be recording right now, including Simon Cowell.
Once a contestant has won over Simon, they’re going to be in the finals. Will they win? Many remember when Sanjaya was in the competition because he kept getting voted in amid desires to prove Simon wrong, despite his lack of a quality singing voice. Kris Allen represents a diametric opposition to Adam Lambert. Where Kris is smooth and subdued, Adam is edgy and over the top. It is a storyline that gets repeated throughout culture: the favorite is hated.
The fact remains, American Idol is just a title. It does not guarantee future success (i.e. Ruben Studdard, David Archuleta). Whoever does win will have to remain relevant by being an artist, not just a show.